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myclob

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http://groups-beta.google.com/group/Idea-Stock-Exchange

http://myclob.blogspot.com/

"If distruction be our lot, we must ourselves be it's author and finisher. As a nation of free men we will live for ever, or die by suicide."
Abraham Lincoln
May 17

Iraq

The countries of; Columbia, Jamaica, and Venezuela, and the US
cities; Washington DC, Atlanta, and New Orleans all have higher
rates of violent death than Iraq. It is safer in Iraq than
Washington DC. It is safer in Iraq than Atlanta. It is safer in
Iraq than New Orleans. It is safer in Iraq than Columbia. It is
safer in Iraq than Jamaica. It is safer in Iraq than Venezuela.

Propaganda works. Lies, repeated often enough, are perceived as
truth. That's why we have an American populace right now that
truly believes we are losing one of the best-fought and
successful military actions in history.



M I I< E l-- A I--I I8 MyClob
















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May 12

Truth

All truth passes through three stages. First, it is ridiculed.
Second, it is violently opposed. Third, it is accepted as being
self-evident.
- Arthur Schopenhauer

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May 07

New gruop

http://groups.google.com/group/Logical-Debate

About Logical Debate:

Don't just state conclusions; list LOGICAL reasons that lead you
to that conclusion. Don’t get mad if your called names, its just
debate. Don’t talk about the way you are treated, talk about
substance. No chit-chat. We don’t care about you, just what do
you think and why. USE LOGIC and Reason!

http://groups.google.com/group/Logical-Debate

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March 25

prediction markets

I'm concerned that we, the proponents of prediction markets are severely limiting ourselves when we say that the purpose is to resolve "questions of science, technology, and public policy."
 
Don't get me wrong. These are all noble ideas, but my goal is different. I want to represent the actual strength of an idea or belief with quantifiable analysis.
 
What am I talking about? I’m not just interested in predicting the future, but figuring out exactly where we are now. For instance if you look at all the prediction market websites, you will see if bets will happen by a certain date. That is not the way the real stock market is set up.
 
In the real stock market people don’t bet weather or not Microsoft will make X amount of money by Y date. People don’t bet weather or not Bill Gates will die, retire, or star in American Idle by this certain date. In the real stock market, people buy Microsoft stock, because they think it is more valuable that it’s current price.
 
I’m not just interested in resolving “questions of science, technology, and public policy” I want to know how many people are willing to bet money that the belief in artificial intelligence will increase or decrease over a certain stock price. I want to be able to invest in Darwinism or Christianity at different stock prices.
 
 



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March 19

Legacy

Before you die you should give each of your children a document with your beliefs and why you believe them. You should then ask your kids to add reasons to agree or disagree, but at least that will give them a good place to start.


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January 05

committee

A committee is a cul-de-sac down which ideas are lured and then quietly strangled.
  -
Sir Barnett Cocks

Reasons to agree:

Anyone can come up with reasons to disagree with even the best ideas. A typical committee is not set up were reasons to agree are weighed against reasons to disagree, with a thorough investigation of the value of each reason. An idea is brought up. Then a couple of people say reasons to disagree, and then when people feel confused, no action is taken.


November 29

A new website:

Someone sent me links to websites that are similar to mine. This is pretty close, however you can not submit reasons to disagree with your own ideas, and you can not submit multiple reasons to disagree with other people's ideas.
 
But it still is the closest thing to what I want.
 


November 18

The Kansas City school board

The Kansas City school board did not "encourage" children to question evolution, it just allowed the SCIENTIFIC FACTS that can not be explained by the THEORY of evolution to be presented.
 
In other words they are presenting the "THEORY" of evolution as a "THEORY". Even conservatives like George Will seem to ignore this fact. He said their actions send us back to the middle ages, but it is the other side who would have us live in a middle-age-like society when their is only one "party line" and those who want to allow debate are persecuted.
 
No one one is  trying to say that evolution didn't happen, they are just trying to allow the SCIENTIFIC findings that contradict evolution to be published. But apparently it is blasphemous to question the religion of evolution, and it's infallible atheist priests.
 


October 29

It's not too complicated

Some people may think that it is too complicated to list all of the reasons to agree or disagree with ideas. I have 3 reasons to disagree with this assertion.

 

First, Einstein said things should be made as simple as possible, but not more so. Issues may be complicated, but if we never organize all of the reasons to agree or disagree with each idea, then we are refusing to live according to logic, and reason, and we are living in our own world and shutting out the truth.

 

Second, it's not that bad when you get use to it. It's kind of like an outline.

 

Third, you are able to save a lot of time with the internet, because fundamental beliefs can be used as reasons to agree or disagree with more than one idea. This allows you to outline all of the reasons to agree or disagree with that fundamental belief, and then re-use that effort on all of those separate issues.



October 19

The people that broadcast sports on TV are idiots.

Reasons to agree
  1. I hate the way they zoom in and out, and jump from camera to camera. They zoom in so close, you can't see any of the back ground. They follow people, so you can see them walking, and that is it. You can't see where they are going, because they are zoomed in too far. All you see is background moving behind them. They should pick a camera angle, at the best seats in the house, and leave it there the whole game. The only moving the camera should do is what your neck should would do. I don't want zooming in. I don't want zooming out. I want to feel exactly like I was there. (reasons to agree & disagree)
  2. They shouldn't just cut from one camera to another.
  3. I want to see a continuous movement of the camera like in the matrix.
  4. They say that the jumping from one view to another is really bad for kid's brains. It messes up the way they are wired.
  5. A good view would be from above the game down. There wouldn't be any movement across the field, just going up and down the field with the ball. You could have the camera angle so that it had the whole field at all times. You could put cables over the field for the camera to go back and forth on, and a sensor in the ball. The camera would stay up or down the field right with the ball. Of course the camera couldn't accelerate quite as fast as the ball, at first, but the ball is never going to go faster than 30 mph.
Reasons to disagree
  1. First of all, the critisism is not very precise. Who exactly are the "people who broadcast sports on TV"? Are you talking about the actual camera men? Or the people who choose the camera feeds? Yep, probably the camera feeds.
  2. Camera men would loose their jobs.
  3. You couldn't see things really close, like fumbles, and when the other players got in the way. (Reasons to agree & disagree)
PS
If you have never been to one of my blogs before, you will soon notice that I tend to argue with myself. It's not that I am schizophrenic, it's just that I think their are good reasons to agree & disagree with each idea. I don't blog because I want to convince people of my ideas. I have made up my mind on very few things. I just want to share my reasons for agreeing or disagreeing with different things.
 
It seems to me, that if I post things in the "reasons to agree" or "disagree" format that it will make me more approachable. It won't be my side vs. their side, it will become both of us trying to figure the issue out together.
 
I also have an alternative motive in posting things in a reasons to agree & disagree format. I believe that some day an algorithm will be able to promote good reasons to agree with an idea, based on the number of reasons they have to agree with them. And these reasons will be sorted out and ranked based on the number of reasons they have to agree with them.



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October 17

Dred the ex-friendly cow

Me and my cow
 
Dred the ex-friendly cow:
I am trying to paint a picture of me being a sophisticated-Idahoan. Me telling stories that involve the use of the barter system may not be a dandy way for me to implement the sophisticated-Idahoan campaign. Oh well.
 
My Dad taught drivers-ed during the summer time. Some guy gave us a baby cow instead of paying us with regular money. So we called the calf "Dred" for Drivers Ed.
 
Dred was a childhood pet of mine. For a cow, he made a very good pet. I remember having a leash and walking him around the pasture.  When we installed an electric fence we put some food on it to draw the cow to it.
 
We did not realize how long it would take for the electric elements to warm up. By the time the fence turned on the cow had wrapped his tough completely around  the food and was trying to swallow it.
 
It did not take long for Dred to realize the basic operations of the electric fence. Dred jumped with such surprise that he nearly knocked over the fence. Needless to say Dred was never the same after that, and never seemed to trust those who witnessed what has come to be known as the "shockening".



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October 16

Bolingbrook, Il

Bolingbrook should elect myclob as their next mayor. (reasons to agree & disagree)

Bolingbrook is a good place to live. (reasons to agree & disagree)

 

Bolingbrook is a good place to live.

 

Reasons to agree:

  1. It's close to 55.
  2. It's affordable.
  3. It has a new Ikea.
Reasons to disagree
  1. It doesn't really have a down town area.
  2. Most people have to work in other places.
  3. It doesn't have a train station close.
  4. It seems to have lots of skunks.
  5. The library is very old.
  6. It doesn't have any tall buildings.

Please help me brain storm reasons to agree or disagree. Just e-mail me your reasons to agree or disagree. My e-mail address is:

 




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October 10

Good Idea Promoting Algorithm

Problem you are solving:

Reasons to agree & disagree are not organized. Good ideas are not promoted. Bad ideas are not killed. Algorithms are not used to their fullest potential. Time is wasted on line. People have to start at ground zero when they want to find all of the reasons to agree or disagree with an idea, because you don't have websites with both sides, you tend to just have pro and con websites.

 

Text of your social invention:

Instead of having people rate an idea on a scale from 1 to 10 using current methods (Feasibility, originality, Humor, and Overall) we should let an algorithm do our dirty work for us. It would be similar to Google’s algorithm, but instead of just promoting good websites, it would actually promote good ideas.

 

A good idea has one of two things. It either has more reasons to agree with it than reasons to disagree, or it has better reasons to agree with it, that reasons to disagree.

 

An algorithm could solve the first problem very easily, if we created a system where the algorithm can count the number of reason that people submit as reasons to agree with an idea, verses reasons to disagree with that idea.

 

An algorithm can not tell if an idea has “better” reasons to agree with it than reasons to disagree with it. Or can it? I believe it can, eventually. What I mean by eventually is that on the first level an idea might have lots of stupid reasons to agree with it and just a few very good reasons to disagree with it. So in other words it is a bad idea. And so my algorithm would be wrong, if it just counted the number of reasons to agree vs. the number of reasons to disagree. However, if the algorithm took into account the reasons to agree or disagree with each of the reasons to agree or disagree, I do not think my algorithm would ever be wrong. Those “good reasons” to disagree would have good reasons to agree with them and relatively few “good reasons” to disagree with them. And if not the reasons to agree with them, would have good reasons to agree with them.

 

Well, has anyone else ever done anything similar to my idea before? Yes, a little company called Google, maybe you have heard of them. The use a very similar algorithm in that it counts all of the links to a website as votes for that website. And then websites that have lots of links to them are given more weight, so that the things that they link to will be considered good websites.

 

In my algorithm, good reasons will carry more weight, because they have lots of reasons to agree with them, just like with Google, good websites carry more weight because they have lots of websites that link to them.

 

Discussion forums would work better if they let users organize their post.

 

If the different aspects of debate were organized, an algorithm could be made to promote good ideas.

 

The algorithm would pay attention to the quantity of reasons that agree or disagree with the idea. The side with more reasons to agree would get more points than the other side. Just like when you fill out a list of reasons to or not to do certain activities, you tend to choose the side with more reasons to agree.

The algorithm could also pay attention to the number of people who agree or disagree with the idea. The hope of democracy is that the majority of people won't make terrible decisions. This would be more likely when people are rewarded for making "good" decisions.  The side with more people who agree should get more points. People could vote for or against ideas.

People could submit websites that agree and websites that disagree. The algorithm could take into account the percentage of people who agree that the website actually agrees or disagrees with an idea and the Google Rank of that idea to assign added points to the idea.

Ideas with more reasons to agree with them would get more points.

Ideas with fewer reasons to disagree with them would get more points.

Reasons that have more reasons to agree with them would get more points.

Reasons that have fewer reasons to disagree with them would get more points.

The goal of the algorithm is to put the best ideas to the top.

I think it would be cool if each user could say which things they want to pay attention to. That way if one user respects authorizes, like people with degrees.

 Eventually this will evolve into a form of artificial intelligence, which we will call 'Collective Intelligence.'  People will then be able to say that they have mapped out all possible reasons for agreeing with, or disagreeing with every moral, political, and economic decision.  Then when all of these reasons are mapped out, society will get to the work of evaluating the validity of each view.  These validities will be traded on a stock market much like the DJI, were if you buy an opinion for cheep (unpopular) and it gains in popularity, then you will be able to sell it at a profit.

The only way that AI will truly work to benefit mankind is when its developers combine the advantages of humans and computers.

First let me say explain my concept of a web page that I believe would obtain this merge of the benefits of mankind and computers.

We build this by building a debate forum called the Battle Field of Ideas. You then create a database that manages ideas and reasons for believing them. You then create an algorithm that will allow these ideas fight for survival. Survival of the fittest is what led to the first organic intelligence, and I believe it is what will lead to the first artificial intelligence.

Users could organize their post as "reasons to agree" or "reasons to disagree".

 

Users could submit "probable motivation of those who agree" or "those who disagree"

 

The idea stock exchange could become better than Slashdot.

 

  1. It seems like Sashdot is mimicking the very worst part of conversations, in that every thing that someone says gets heard by everyone else, and then when anyone responds we all have to see the whole ugly mess.
  2. Instead of the:

Post

    1. reply
    2. reply
      1. reply
        1. reply

method, we should use the:

post

    Reasons to agree #1 Reasons to disagree #1

    Reasons to agree #2 Reasons to disagree #2

    Reasons to agree #3 Reasons to disagree #3

 

3.      The problem with the way Slashdot works now is that progress is never made. A conversation string is recorded, but that is just one of infinite possible conversations that could have taken place with that subject. For instance, someone post something on Slashdot, and typically someone will post a reason why they disagree with the original idea, and then someone else will post a reason why they disagree with the second idea. After a few post some good ideas may have been brought up, but there is no way to keep it all organized, except chronologically.
 

But most people have more than just one reason for believing a conclusion. And just because someone brings up a good reason not to come to that conclusion, the original person probably won't change their mind. How could each of his reasons be evaluated independently.
 

The way Slashdot is currently organized this is impossible. However if they simply let people submit reasons to agree or disagree to an idea, and if they put these in different columns, the whole process of debate would improve. Eventually people could evaluate each reason to agree with or disagree with the idea, and the best reasons would go to the top.

I think that there should be one place where people submit an idea. Fine, slash dot does that. But what I would do differently people posting responses to my post, and then having them tacked on in a continuous string, that goes on for ever and never gets any where but away from the regular idea, I don’t know about you but most discussions that I have using the statement-response1-response2-response3 method don’t get anywhere. One of the main problems being that by the time you get to response3 you’ve already changed the subject 3 times.

 

The idea stock exchange could become better than the Foresight Exchange.

 

This website is severely limiting itself by focusing on predictions and trying to verify weather or not these predictions will be able to be judged as coming true or not.

 

With the real stock market their is not death to a stock that is based on a certain time.  The stock dies if the underlining principles are not sound.

 

And the whole purpose of my website is to implement the virtues of conflict resolution into online stock markets, effectively merging the online stock market with a brand new kind of discussion board.  A discussion boards that organizes the best reasons to agree or disagree with a prediction or just a belief. This involves listing the reasons to agree or disagree, the interest of the apposing sides, etc.

 

I also personally hate the navigational structure.  It is not intuitive.  There aught to be a more intuitive way to browse to the idea.

 

The idea stock exchange could become better than those stupid polls, where TV stations or other news outlets tell you to vote for or against some stupid question.

 

When we step back and try to compare this web site (Idea Stock Exchange)  to other things out there are lots of analogies come to mind. This web site is like a continuous poll that runs 24 hours a day. It is much like a discussion board, but more dynamic.

Also polls don't allow people to post reasons why they are for or against an idea.

 

The Idea Stock Exchange lets people post reasons why they agree or disagree, and lots other people post reasons why they disagree with their reasons to agree or disagree!

 

It's like a 21 century poll.

 

Who cares what people think, who don't have any reasons to think the way they think?

The idea stock exchange could be very similar to the regular stock market.

 

The Idea Stock Exchange is a hybrid of many things. My belief is that we should be able to invest money in an idea, just like we do in the stock market.

 

Gambling is sort of like like investing in an idea. When gamble on sports, you are investing money in the belief that your team will win. You are investing money in an idea.

 

The stock market isn't much different. Investing in the stock market is kind of like investing in the idea. You are investing in the belief that your stock will go up in price.

The Idea Stock Exchange is much like a stock exchange in that it tracks the rise and fall of the popularity of ideas, much like the stock exchange tracks the popularity of companies.

 

Like nature the Idea Stock Exchange promotes the survival of the fittest. To continue the theme of a stock exchange each position could get an Idea Executive Officer, who is in charge of maintaining the web site. His job would be to drum up support for his cause. Perhaps George Bush would become an IEO for the belief that we should lower taxes. I can see them on CNN talking about their position much like CEO’s talk about their stock, “I think we are going to be doing much better, in the 3rd quarter of this year, after people pay their taxes.”

 

Perhaps the IEO could get paid revenues from advertising on the site for his position. He could make editorial comments or make the categories for additions to his web site to go into.

 

There are many things that could be done to make this web site better. In the business world a major concern is a monopoly. Perhaps a business only succeed because it succeeds in the past, even though a different company may be better for consumer. It is foreseeable too that on our web site that some ideas will become popular, and stay popular. Much like a business with a monopoly, it may bee seen that it gets preferred treatment, because it is at the top. This could be overcome by having a section, much like the business world that talks about good new ideas.

 

However none of this is a new idea. For example the Foresight Exchange allows you to invest fake money in different predictions. Also Robin Hanson has been promoting such ideas for years http://hanson.gmu.edu/home.html. However, I do have something to add, so keep reading!

 

What I propose, that is different than anything else out there, is a system where the validity of ideas can be evaluated before you invest in them! We should be able to post reasons to agree or disagree with an idea. These reasons should go to two separate columns called "reasons to agree" and "reasons to disagree". An improvement would be able to submit reasons to agree or disagree with the reasons to agree or disagree! And so on.

 

 

If this system was implemented you would have an idea, with all of the best reasons to agree or disagree, on the same page, in descending order!

 

A website that organizes reasons to agree and disagree with an idea into separate columns, and promotes the best ideas to the top of each column, could eventually attain a sort of artificial intelligence.

 

The algorithm would be the key to AI. The rest of the formatting would just give the AI ways of evaluating information, just like Google's algorithm relies on the formatting of the internet (links) to figure out which sites are better.

 

You could say that our decision making capability is what makes us intelligent.

 

Humans aren't one entity, we are billions of brain cells, all acting independently. Our DNA has us programmed.

 

The ability to make decisions isn't something that only human's can do.

 

A good idea promoting algorithm could start its road to AI by promoting good ideas, then learning what a good idea is, and then coming up with it's own good ideas.

 

In the future, it could learn for itself what makes an idea "good".

 

There are lots of ways that, with some good formatting, and current technology that we could build an algorithm that promotes good ideas.

 

We could harness the power of education by letting experts have a louder voice on our website.

 

Each idea would get more points if it was submitted from the e-mail address of a professor with a degree in the subject mater that is being discussed. For instance if someone said that Abraham Lincoln was an idiot. And someone disagreed, and someone else agreed. If the person that disagreed had a degree in history and the idea was submitted to the history section, then the person who disagreed (the professor) would win. The more prestigious the school, the more points. Prestigious would be ranked by the US News report, or some other un-biased judge. I don't care about you people that say, "The smartest people don't always make the best decisions." We are talking about percentages. Of course the smartest people don't always make the best decisions, but they would tend to make better decisions that stupid or uneducated people.

 

Google groups, http://groups.google.com, should allow people to respond to an idea by submitting their comments to two separate columns; "Reasons to agree" and "reasons to disagree".

 

This would lead to more order.

 

This would allow Google to organize information better, which is their stated goal.

 

This would allow Google to have people evaluate the validity of the top reasons to agree with an idea, on a scale from 1 to 10 before they can submit a reason to disagree with the idea.  

 

This will allow Google to build the best ran discussion groups, where good behavior is rewarded.

 

For instance Google could build user profiles, similar to e-bay user profiles, but that would show the tendency of a user to consider the others side of an argument. For instance you could see the average "validity vote" or the validity assigned to a reasons to agree by the individual who is submitting a reasons to disagree with an idea. Some users might always assign a 0 to the validity vote of apposing ideas. If these people always said the reasons to disagree with them had absolutely now validity, these people would be considered narrow minded or close minded, and should not be given as much validity in a system that is supposed to promote the best ideas.




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September 28

reasons = votes = links = algorithm

Google uses links between web pages as a sort of vote for a web page. So the more web pages that link to you, it's like more people are voting for your web page. But the cool part is that Google doesn't give each link an equal weight. If more websites vote for your website, your website must be good, therefore your links count more.

From a fairness stance it is not very democratic. Everyone does not have an equal vote. But in another sense it is democratic. If you are able to convince other people that your website is good, they will be more likely to link to your website, and this will increase your website's page rank, and therefore your voice.

I think it would be possible to create an algorithm that substitutes links for reasons to agree. Lets say you have an idea with reasons to agree and reasons to disagree. Each reason to agree would give points to the idea, and each reasons to disagree would take away points. But just like Google, each of these reasons could have different weight, based on how many reasons their are to agree with them. And each of these reasons could have a different weight based on the number of reasons to agree or disagree with them, and so on forever. Just like Google.

I think promoting good ideas is more important than promoting good websites.



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Foresight Exchange

www.ideosphere.com/fx/

 

This page is very similar to what I want to create.  However I see some obvious problems:

 

This website is severely limiting itself by focusing on predictions and trying to verify weather or not these predictions will be able to be judged as coming true or not.

 

With the real stock market their is not death to a stock that is based on a certain time.  The stock dies if the underlining principles are not sound.

 

And the whole purpose of my website is to implement the virtues of conflict resolution into online stock markets, effectively merging the online stock market with a brand new kind of discussion board.  A discussion boards that organizes the best reasons to agree or disagree with a prediction or just a belief. This involves listing the reasons to agree or disagree, the interest of the apposing sides, etc.

 

I also personally hate the navigational structure.  It is not intuitive.  There aught to be a more intuitive way to browse to the idea.



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It is good to use humor in religious works of art.

 
 
On the one Hand (reasons to agree) On the other Hand (reasons to disagree)
  1. It makes it more accessible to more people

  2. We would kill ourselves if we only were entertained by serious things all the time

  3. Stories don't have to be written as puzzles, so that only those who work really hard can understand them.

  4. The reasons our families are falling apart is because we don't spend enough time together being entertained.

  5. The other side would say that the purpose of the arts is to present positions and information...

  6. People can learn lessons with out having to think really hard

 

Book that agree or disagree Cause and affect relationship Logical Argument Movie that agree or disagree Result of a historically similar situation: Song that agree or disagree Statistic that agree or disagree Theory of what would happen if this plan was implemented: Website that agree Dewey Decimal System of your idea's subject Yahoo Catigory for subject of your idea

 

  1. It's really a question of quality, low quality, low intellect stories are forever keeping us from more important issues.
  2. The problem with society is that we are all intellectually lazy, we don't want to think, we just want to be entertained.  
  3. Yes but the important subjects that society struggles with are never simple.
  4. ...Why not? People are starving. Wars are raging. Why are we spending all our time with entertainment while our families and countries are falling apart.

 

Book that agree or disagree Cause and affect relationship Logical Argument Movie that agree or disagree Result of a historically similar situation: Song that agree or disagree Statistic that agree or disagree Theory of what would happen if this plan was implemented: Website that agree Dewey Decimal System of your idea's subject Yahoo Catigory for subject of your idea

 

Most probable interest of those who agree: Most probable interest of those who disagree:
  1. They may be in the entertainment industry and want to sell their funny material.

 

 

 

 

 




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September 27

McD

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September 26

Shoe

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September 25

Jews vs. Arabs

Jewish Interest:

Palestinian's interest

  1. Safety
  1. Independence

 

Common Interest

Apposing Interest

  1. Peace

  2. Economic security that is only available with peace

  1. Control of Jerusalem

  2. The promise of becoming a martyr with 31 virgins immediately upon your death.

  3. The idea that you should see who's God is more powerful, buy seeing who wins the death match.

  4. Machismo

Please help me brain storm reasons to agree or disagree. (Some day every idea will have the best reasons to agree or disagree with it in descending order, with the best ideas at the top. It will take a lot of work, so let’s get started).  
 



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Best Solution to the conflict between America & the Terrorist

Meet the needs of the terrorist   

    1. Probable outcome: Encourage them that their methods will work.

  1. Stop helping Israel    

  2. Have international monitors placed in Israel    

  3. Try to defeat the terrorist    

    1. Probable outcome: That will make them more angry and this might make more people want to become terrorist

  4. Kill the terrorist    

  5. Eliminate the power of the terrorist    

    1. With diplomatic means    

    2. With Military means    

    3. With Economic means        

    4. With all means possible    




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Society should reward good behavior and punish pad behavior

Type of rewards that government could use for good behavior

  1. Recognition

    1. Awards and metals such as the presidential awards (currently used).

    2. Schools

      1. Honor role, this is where schools mention what students are doing well, etc (this is currently used).

      2. Poster boards with children's name on them. When children do something good, a star is added. Everyone always sees who has the most stars (currently used).

      3. Rewarding parents for good behavior of students, helping to make them responsible (not currently used).

    3. A website that is the equivalent of the children's poster board with stars on it.

  2. Tax breaks (not currently used)

  3. Increased voting power (Not currently used)

  4. Free services

    1. Use of school weight rooms, libraries, computers (not currently used)

    2. Free passes of State Parks (not currently use)

Type of punishments that government could use for good behavior

  1. School system

    1. Expulsion, being kicked out of a school. Detention, not being allowed to come to school

    2. Spankings (Not currently used)

  2. Prison (already used)

  3. Fines, fees (already used)

  4. Decreased voting power (not used)

Types of behaviors that should be rewarded

  1. Education

  2. Lack of crimes

  3. Children

    1. Tutoring children

    2. Adopting children

  4. Environment

    1. Recycling

      1. Batteries

      2. Chemicals

      3. Paper products

      4. Metals

Types of behaviors that should be punished

  1. Crimes



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Weighted Voting - Giving people different weight to their votes

Instead of the right to vote being an all or nothing situation, such as former felons who are not allowed to vote, we could "water down" (50%) the voting power of former felons proportionally to their crime or give increased voting power (150%) to who do well on a test given to determine a voter's knowledge about the candidates. This would result in discouraging illegal activities, while promoting activates that would result in a more informed public. Finally, creating a thoughtfully designed system giving added voting power to those participating in beneficial activities and decreased voting power for who participate in illegal activities, would result in more value friendly policy. Our founding fathers did not say, lets have uncontrolled democracy, and if the people are stupid, then the country will deserve to go down in flames. No they tried to set up a system with checks and balances, that would result in the best policy. We should want to find out what thoughtful members of society think, while ignoring all the "Jay-Walk All Stars" and raving lunatics.

So instead of removing former felons right to vote completely, their voting power should be affected proportionally to the crime. Lawyers and Judges have a pretty good idea about the relative gravity of each crime.  But if we believe our penal system to be just, I suggest that we make voting dilution be directly proportional to the criminals time spent in prison. This will take into consideration all mitigating factors, good behavior in prison, etc. Society already takes away criminals right to vote. What I am proposing is not new. All I'm saying is that we do it in a more PRECISE way (engineers who are familiar with the Japanese emphasis on precision after WWII will have added insight into the kind of rational & precise world I want to live in).

Surely those who contribute less, or harm society, should have their say deducted by an appropriate proportion. In fact you could set up a system or formula that mirrors the penal system. For instance their could be a certain percentage reduction of a vote's weight, based on time spent in jail, or fee paid.

OK, you say, this system is no worse than today's system, but why should we limit criminal's right to vote in the first place. Our actions speak volumes about who we are and what we value. As an example, if you have had a ticket for drunk driving, than it would seem that you care more about your needs than the needs of society. Perhaps each ticket should reduce the weight of your vote by a certain percentage. This would become an ethics quotient.

Inevitably when this type of system is proposed, there are those who will say, "Yes but WHO's ethics?" they say, with an accusation tone, as though we think our values should be implemented. Obviously which ever society implemented this scheme would apply their values/ethics. But lets not kid ourselves. No society says that all values are equal. Every society says that violent murder against innocent people is wrong. Every society believes that stealing is wrong. Every society has a penal system that has much harsher punishments than decreasing convict's power at the voting booth. If societies are comfortable with locking rapist away, then I am comfortable in limiting their right to vote proportionally to the amount of time they spent in prison.

In addition to discouraging illegal activities, we should also encourage some activities with the ethics quotient. We, in America, live in a culture that does not respect the educated. Kids who do well in school, are called nerds. This is not the case in other cultures, such as Japan, Germany, India, and China. These countries and cultures will annihilate us in the future unless we change. We often say that we need to give teacher more power in society. Some say that we need to make it more desirable for our youth to be educated. Because knowledge, in our society is free to rich and poor (my wife was raised in a trailer, but got a full ride scholarship to a prestigious school) we should not feel ashamed at giving those with more knowledge, more say in elections.

The first way we could give those with more knowledge, more say in an election, would be to weigh our votes proportionally to our knowledge about the candidates. People, who know nothing about candidates, should not be given the right to vote for those candidates. Why should they? On the other hand, the more you know about political candidates, the more voice you should have in getting them elected. Our current system is a Joke. Simply seeing an R or D by their name shouldn't be all you need to know to vote. You have to pass a test to drive a small motorcycle, but you don't have to know a single thing about a candidate to pick them. This is scary because these candidates go on to "drive a country" that has nuclear weapons, if you live in the US.

I believe, a test should be given, with the voter's score qualifying them for different weights assigned to their votes. Perhaps 50 questions could be assigned for each candidate. Some questions may do with their backgrounds, and others would represent their stances on different policies.

If you don't know anything about the candidate, why should you have any say in their being elected?

Of course, these questions would have to be standardized. Just because I don't do a good job on this site explaining what these questions are doesn't mean the idea is bad. If you don't believe in standards or quality, please read "Zen and the Art of Motorcycle maintenance".

However, I don't think that knowledge about a certain election's candidates should be the only factor that increases your voting power. Perhaps the following would be a starting place:

Education

High School Degree 5%
4 year degree 10%
Masters degree 15%
Doctoral Degree 20%

Test Scores

ACT Score above 25 5%
ACT Score above 30 10%
IQ above 130 5%

Lets assume that people with high IQ's are no less ethical than people with low IQ's. Would you rather have a policy instituted by those with higher IQ's or those policies instituted by those with low IQ's? It's a simple question. I don't have a high IQ. I don't dislike those who are smarter than me. I have a friend that got a 32 or 34 on his ACT's and I really admire him. I think he should get more of a vote than I do, because he KNOWS more.

Socially aware professions

Teachers 5%
Police 5%
Community service
80 hrs/ year 5%
160 hrs/ year 10%

Wouldn't it be funny, if you got so many tickets that you had a negative weighting? That when you voted for someone it had the affect of voting against them!

I got the idea when replying to "Weight Everyone's Vote Based on IQ"

Just because this would be complicated does not mean that it shouldn't be done. Einstein said, "Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not simpler."  Their is no reason to punish all felons equally, when it comes to not having the right to vote.

 

Reasons to agree:

  1. The average citizen does not have the time to figure out who would most likely make good policy decisions, let alone predict the outcome of different policy decisions.

  2. Experts make better decisions than non experts.

  3. Quality is more important than equality.

  4. Just because everyone has a voice does not mean good decisions will be made.

  5. Each society has the obligation to determine what it will and will not accept. Societies have the right to say some things are good, and some things are bad.

  6. Garbage in garbage out. If stupid people are the one's making choices, then they will probably do stupid things.

  7. Corporations do not take votes on what they should do, they try and find the most qualified people.

  8. Computers with data bases make it possible to keep track of large amounts of information.

  9. People should not be offended if their vote is weighted less than others, if they new that their actions resulted in their lower weighting.

  10. Those that obey the law deserve to be listened to more than those who disobey the law.

  11. We should design a government that is most likely to be stable, and meet the needs of the citizens of our country vs. we should design a government that does what ever the majority of the people want it to do.

  12. Those who drink and drive care more about their needs than the needs of the community, and so their votes should be diminished, because those who care more about the needs of the community will more likely institute policy that helps the community

 

 

Reasons to disagree:

  1. Not everyone agrees about what is ethical and what is not ethical. (Response: This is true but it doesn't stop us from outlawing certain behaviors. Some people think that drugs, prostitution, and other things should be legalized. We all agree that murder of innocent human beings outside of the womb is wrong. I can not speak to specifics because this complaint isn't specific. It just says that my system can be abused. Well teddy bears can be used to suffocate people, but that doesn't make them bad.)

  2. This system is too complicated. (Response: I would do the easy parts first, and the more difficult parts later. We can put a man on a moon. We already deny former felons the right to vote, why not start my system by decreasing their vote proportionally to the severity of their crime? We could do a simple method based on years served, or dollars paid, in the case of white collar crime.)

  3. There are already voting problems. (Response: This form of debate does not stand up to logical scrutiny. Just because one system does not work, does not mean that another system will not work. The math is easy. Everyone has a weight between 0 and lets say 2. You take all the votes for one candidate, and add them together. You do the same for the next candidate, and who ever has a larger number wins.)

  4. This system could be used to discriminate against Christians, homosexuals, or other minorities. (Response: This falls into the "this system could be abused, and so it is bad" category. I refer you to the argument that I'm sure I have made earlier that just because hammers can be used to smash thumbs, does not make them bad. I should not even respond to these type of arguments, but I can't help myself. This system was not in place when the USA rounded up Japanese Americans and put them in internment camps, or when they issued  an extermination order on all Mormons living in Mousuri during the 1800's. And yet, these things happened without my "evil" system. Of course, my system would be open to review by the judicial system. I have proposed a system that does not judge people by their race or religion. It judges them on their behavior. It is good to discriminate based on past behavior. You agree, or else you would let your kids have stay over at Michael Jackson's place.

  5. Your vote is anonymous in the US. (Response: Their are tons of easy fixes to this. Random passwords being assigned to each individual, that only they know. This would show their voting weight, and to whom their votes went).

  6. We're never going to agree if it's "more ethical" to be a peace activist for 100 hours versus be a fundamentalist bible-study teacher for 100 hours. (Response: We do not work by consensus in this country, we work by majority. Rules change all the time. Society changes, culture changes. Some things become legal, and some things become illegal, if you haven't noticed. Everyone might not agree, but I do not doubt that society could come up with a good list. Maybe different cities would have different list. San Francisco might give different weight to things than Salt Lake, but why does everything have to be the same?)

 

 

 



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September 24

Google's biggest move yet!

Google has just made its most exciting announcement to date!

 

For more information go to:

 

http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2005/09/putting-crowd-wisdom-to-work.html

 

I think Robin Hanson also deserves to have his name mentioned, when talking about innovators in Idea Futures. Check out this link.

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robin_Hanson

 

However, putting crowd wisdom to work should involve more than what any of these individuals advocate.

 

If we really wanted to put crowd wisdom to work we would allow the crowd to post reasons to agree or disagree with different prices (too high, or too low, or $0.33 is right on).

 

These reasons for a higher or lower price would go to separate columns.

 

People could then post reasons to agree or disagree with the reasons. Reasons to agree could be considered a vote for the price. And reasons disagree would be a vote for a lower or higher price. 

 

Reasons with more reasons to agree with them, would get a higher rank (just like the Google algorithm, except reasons would take the place of links).

 

This is important for us to do, because if we are going to ever invest money in ideas, we need a good place to investigate an idea’s fundamentals, just like you need to investigate a company’s fundamentals before investing in them. Current debate or discussion groups are simply insufficient.

 

First of all we need a system that promotes good reasons to agree or disagree with a certain price. Current discussion boards or debate forums treat all reasons & ideas the same. They place them in the forum in the chronological order they came in. That would be OK if you were dealing with experts that knew what they were talking about, but online you are dealing with a lot of non-quality opinions. A non-quality opinion is an idea with very few reasons to agree with it, and lots of reasons to disagree with it. But this is a simplification. The real definition of a non quality opinion requires you to put your thinking cap on stick with me for a while.

 

Previously I said, “A non-quality opinion is an idea with very few reasons to agree with it, and lots of reasons to disagree with it. But this is a simplification.” Because of human nature we tend to think of the exception to the rule. The exception to my definition would be an idea with a few very good reasons to agree with it, and lots of poor reasons to disagree with it.

 

This problem can be solved by using an algorithm similar to Google’s web page ranking algorithm. I like to call my algorithm an idea ranking algorithm. My idea ranking algorithm requires a specific format to work, just like Google’s. Google’s page ranking algorithm requires links. It looks at links like a vote, so that it’s like a web page having lots of votes, if it has lots of links to it. And links from web pages with lots of links to it, mean more. My idea ranking algorithm requires a forum in which people can submit reasons to agree or disagree with the idea. And then they can submit reasons to agree or disagree with those reasons. Thus reasons with lots of reasons to agree with them and fewer reasons to disagree with them will carry more weight, similar to WebPages with lots of links to them.

 

I believe if Google created this forum in which to debate the price of different ideas, it could become the internets best content provider, instead of just a way of getting to other WebPages.

 

If each idea had a rank, and each reasons to agree or disagree had a rank, you could track an ideas popularity over time, just like people track the performance of a stock. You could instantly pull up the top 10 reasons to agree or disagree with each idea.

 

Think of what this would do for world politics. Instead of the Jews going to their own website, and the Arabs going to their own websites, where only data that supports their side is discussed, they will go to the same website. Finely the website will bring those with defend opinions together.

 

 



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